Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union prediction

Cincinnati have won 3 of their last 5, while Philadelphia Union have won 3 of their last 5. Cincinnati average 2.4 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Philadelphia Union average 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Cincinnati won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Philadelphia Union, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Cincinnati to score about 1.6 and Philadelphia Union about 2.2. We expect around 3.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.