Radcliffe vs Merthyr Town prediction

Radcliffe have won 3 of their last 5, while Merthyr Town have not won in their last 5. Radcliffe average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Merthyr Town average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Radcliffe lost 1-3 against Merthyr Town. Our model expects Radcliffe to score about 1.5 and Merthyr Town about 1.3. Merthyr Town should avoid losing by two goals or more.