Spennymoor Town vs Chorley prediction

Spennymoor Town have lost 4 of their last 5, while Chorley have taken 7 points from their last 5. Spennymoor Town average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Chorley average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Spennymoor Town won 1-0 against Chorley. Our model expects Spennymoor Town to score about 1.4 and Chorley about 1.6. Spennymoor Town should avoid losing by two goals or more.