Sportivo Luqueño vs Nacional Asunción prediction

Sportivo Luqueño have lost 4 of their last 5, while Nacional Asunción have taken 8 points from their last 5. Sportivo Luqueño average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Nacional Asunción average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Sportivo Luqueño won 0, drew 0 and lost 3 to Nacional Asunción, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Sportivo Luqueño to score about 0.9 and Nacional Asunción about 1.5. Nacional Asunción should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.