Sportivo San Lorenzo vs Libertad prediction

Sportivo San Lorenzo have not won in their last 5, while Libertad have not won in their last 5. Sportivo San Lorenzo average 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Libertad average 0.7 scored and 2.7 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0, drew 0 and lost 3 to Libertad, with 4.3 goals a game. Our model expects Sportivo San Lorenzo to score about 1.0 and Libertad about 1.6. Sportivo San Lorenzo should avoid losing by two goals or more.