Atlanta United vs Toronto prediction

Atlanta United have lost 4 of their last 5, while Toronto have won 3 of their last 5. Atlanta United average 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Toronto average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Atlanta United won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Toronto, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Atlanta United to score about 1.6 and Toronto about 1.6. Toronto should avoid losing by two goals or more.