Brann vs Molde prediction

Brann have lost 3 of their last 5, while Molde have won 3 of their last 5. Brann average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Molde average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Brann won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Molde, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Brann to score about 1.8 and Molde about 1.9. Molde should avoid losing by two goals or more.