Carabobo vs Metropolitanos prediction

Carabobo are unbeaten in their last 5, while Metropolitanos are unbeaten in their last 5. Carabobo average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Metropolitanos average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Carabobo won 2, drew 2 and lost 0 to Metropolitanos, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Carabobo to score about 1.4 and Metropolitanos about 1.1. Metropolitanos should avoid losing by two goals or more.