Cartaginés vs AD San Carlos prediction

Cartaginés have won 3 of their last 5, while AD San Carlos have won 3 of their last 5. Cartaginés average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while AD San Carlos average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Cartaginés won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to AD San Carlos, with 2.0 goals a game. Our model expects Cartaginés to score about 1.7 and AD San Carlos about 1.0. AD San Carlos should avoid losing by two goals or more.