Danubio vs Nacional prediction

Danubio have lost 3 of their last 5, while Nacional have won 4 of their last 5. Danubio average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Nacional average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Danubio won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Nacional, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Danubio to score about 1.0 and Nacional about 1.1. Danubio may struggle in front of goal, with only about 1.0 goals expected from them.