Huachipato vs La Serena prediction

Huachipato are unbeaten in their last 5, while La Serena have won 3 of their last 5. Huachipato average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while La Serena average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. When they last met, Huachipato drew 0-0 against La Serena. Our model expects Huachipato to score about 1.6 and La Serena about 1.4. La Serena should avoid losing by two goals or more.