Lecce vs Genoa prediction

Lecce have lost 3 of their last 5, while Genoa have won 3 of their last 5. Lecce average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Genoa average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Lecce won 1-0 against Genoa. Our model expects Lecce to score about 1.2 and Genoa about 1.1. Lecce should find the net, with about 1.2 goals expected from them.