Marseille vs Toulouse prediction

Marseille have won 3 of their last 5, while Toulouse are unbeaten in their last 5. Marseille average 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Toulouse average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Marseille won 1, drew 2 and lost 0 to Toulouse, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Marseille to score about 1.6 and Toulouse about 1.4. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.