Paris FC vs Monaco prediction

Paris FC have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Monaco have taken 8 points from their last 5. Paris FC average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Monaco average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Paris FC won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Monaco, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Paris FC to score about 1.5 and Monaco about 1.2. Monaco should avoid losing by two goals or more.