PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis prediction

PAOK have won 3 of their last 5, while Asteras Tripolis have taken 6 points from their last 5. PAOK average 2.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Asteras Tripolis average 0.7 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, PAOK won 2-0 against Asteras Tripolis. Our model expects PAOK to score about 2.0 and Asteras Tripolis about 1.0. We expect only around 3.0 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.