Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens prediction

Panathinaikos have won 4 of their last 5, while AEK Athens have won 3 of their last 5. Panathinaikos average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while AEK Athens average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Panathinaikos won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to AEK Athens, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Panathinaikos to score about 1.6 and AEK Athens about 1.1. AEK Athens should avoid losing by two goals or more.