Union Berlin vs Köln prediction

Union Berlin have taken 5 points from their last 5, while Köln have taken 7 points from their last 5. Union Berlin average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Köln average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Union Berlin won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Köln, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Union Berlin to score about 1.5 and Köln about 1.3. Köln should find the net, with about 1.3 goals expected from them.