Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz prediction

Wolfsberger AC have not won in their last 5, while Sturm Graz have won 3 of their last 5. Wolfsberger AC average 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Sturm Graz average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Wolfsberger AC won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Sturm Graz, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Wolfsberger AC to score about 1.3 and Sturm Graz about 1.4. Wolfsberger AC should avoid losing by two goals or more.