Al Gharafa vs Al Qadsiah prediction

Al Gharafa have not won in their last 5, while Al Qadsiah have won 3 of their last 5. Al Gharafa average 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Al Qadsiah average 2.6 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Al Gharafa to score about 1.0 and Al Qadsiah about 2.2. Al Qadsiah should at least avoid defeat.