Athletic vs Ceará prediction

Athletic have not won in their last 5, while Ceará have taken 7 points from their last 5. Athletic average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Ceará average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Athletic drew 0-0 against Ceará. Our model expects Athletic to score about 1.4 and Ceará about 1.0. Ceará should avoid losing by two goals or more.