Benfica vs Alverca prediction

Benfica have won 4 of their last 5, while Alverca have won 3 of their last 5. Benfica average 2.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Alverca average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Benfica won 2-1 against Alverca. Our model expects Benfica to score about 2.1 and Alverca about 1.1. Benfica should be hard to beat here.