Defensa y Justicia vs Independiente prediction

Defensa y Justicia have won 3 of their last 5, while Independiente have taken 5 points from their last 5. Defensa y Justicia average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Independiente average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Defensa y Justicia lost 1-3 against Independiente. Our model expects Defensa y Justicia to score about 1.3 and Independiente about 1.0. Independiente should avoid losing by two goals or more.