Lorient vs Brest prediction

Lorient have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Brest have lost 3 of their last 5. Lorient average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Brest average 0.9 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Lorient won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Brest, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Lorient to score about 1.5 and Brest about 1.1. Brest should avoid losing by two goals or more.