Newcastle United vs Everton prediction

Newcastle United have lost 3 of their last 5, while Everton have taken 7 points from their last 5. Newcastle United average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Everton average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Newcastle United won 0, drew 0 and lost 3 to Everton, with 4.3 goals a game. Our model expects Newcastle United to score about 1.4 and Everton about 1.4. We expect only around 2.8 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.