Cancún vs Piratas prediction

Cancún are unbeaten in their last 5, while Piratas have won 3 of their last 5. Cancún average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Piratas average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. When they last met, Cancún won 1-0 against Piratas. Our model expects Cancún to score about 1.5 and Piratas about 1.1. We expect only around 2.7 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.