Durango vs Leones Negros prediction

Durango have won 3 of their last 5, while Leones Negros have won 3 of their last 5. Durango average 2.3 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Leones Negros average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Durango lost 1-2 against Leones Negros. Our model expects Durango to score about 1.7 and Leones Negros about 1.3. Leones Negros should avoid losing by two goals or more.