Metropolitanos vs Carabobo prediction

Metropolitanos are unbeaten in their last 5, while Carabobo are unbeaten in their last 5. Metropolitanos average 1.9 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Carabobo average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Metropolitanos won 0, drew 2 and lost 2 to Carabobo, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Metropolitanos to score about 1.4 and Carabobo about 1.1. We expect only around 2.6 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.