Wrexham vs Middlesbrough prediction

Wrexham have lost 3 of their last 5, while Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 5. Wrexham average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Middlesbrough average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Wrexham won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Middlesbrough, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Wrexham to score about 1.3 and Middlesbrough about 1.6. Wrexham should avoid losing by two goals or more.