AC Milan vs Ferencváros prediction

AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5, while Ferencváros are unbeaten in their last 5. AC Milan average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Ferencváros average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. Our model expects AC Milan to score about 1.7 and Ferencváros about 1.4. Ferencváros should avoid losing by two goals or more.