Crystal Palace vs Hoffenheim prediction

Crystal Palace have lost 3 of their last 5, while Hoffenheim have won 3 of their last 5. Crystal Palace average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Hoffenheim average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Crystal Palace to score about 1.8 and Hoffenheim about 1.5. Hoffenheim should avoid losing by two goals or more.