Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej prediction

Al Kholood have not won in their last 5, while Al Khaleej have won 3 of their last 5. Al Kholood average 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Al Khaleej average 1.3 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Al Kholood won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Al Khaleej, with 4.5 goals a game. Our model expects Al Kholood to score about 1.7 and Al Khaleej about 1.6. Al Kholood should avoid losing by two goals or more.