Aldosivi vs River Plate prediction

Aldosivi have lost 4 of their last 5, while River Plate have won 3 of their last 5. Aldosivi average 0.7 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while River Plate average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Aldosivi lost 1-3 against River Plate. Our model expects Aldosivi to score about 1.0 and River Plate about 1.4. Aldosivi should avoid losing by two goals or more.