Hamburger SV vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction

Hamburger SV have lost 3 of their last 5, while Borussia M'gladbach have taken 7 points from their last 5. Hamburger SV average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Borussia M'gladbach average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Hamburger SV drew 0-0 against Borussia M'gladbach. Our model expects Hamburger SV to score about 1.6 and Borussia M'gladbach about 1.5. Hamburger SV should avoid losing by two goals or more.