Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra prediction

Independiente have not won in their last 5, while Deportivo Riestra have not won in their last 5. Independiente average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Deportivo Riestra average 0.3 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Independiente lost 0-2 against Deportivo Riestra. Our model expects Independiente to score about 1.1 and Deportivo Riestra about 0.8. We expect only around 1.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.