Auxerre vs Paris FC prediction

Auxerre have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Paris FC have won 3 of their last 5. Auxerre average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Paris FC average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Auxerre won 0, drew 2 and lost 0 to Paris FC, with 1.0 goals a game. Our model expects Auxerre to score about 1.6 and Paris FC about 1.4. Paris FC should avoid losing by two goals or more.