PSG vs Troyes prediction

PSG are unbeaten in their last 5, while Troyes have lost 3 of their last 5. PSG average 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Troyes average 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects PSG to score about 2.1 and Troyes about 1.0. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.