Bangor vs Crusaders prediction

Bangor have lost 3 of their last 5, while Crusaders have lost 4 of their last 5. Bangor average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Crusaders average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Bangor won 0, drew 2 and lost 1 to Crusaders, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Bangor to score about 1.5 and Crusaders about 1.4. We expect only around 2.9 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.