Crewe Alexandra vs AFC Wimbledon prediction

Crewe Alexandra have taken 7 points from their last 5, while AFC Wimbledon have not won in their last 5. Crewe Alexandra average 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while AFC Wimbledon average 0.9 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. Our model expects Crewe Alexandra to score about 1.6 and AFC Wimbledon about 0.9. Crewe Alexandra should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.