Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction

Excelsior have not won in their last 5, while Go Ahead Eagles have taken 5 points from their last 5. Excelsior average 1.3 scored and 2.1 conceded at home, while Go Ahead Eagles average 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Excelsior won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Go Ahead Eagles, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Excelsior to score about 1.8 and Go Ahead Eagles about 1.9. Excelsior should avoid losing by two goals or more.