Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar prediction

Fortuna Sittard are unbeaten in their last 5, while Telstar have not won in their last 5. Fortuna Sittard average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Telstar average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Fortuna Sittard lost 1-4 against Telstar. Our model expects Fortuna Sittard to score about 1.7 and Telstar about 1.4. Telstar should avoid losing by two goals or more.