Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have lost 3 of their last 5, while Independiente Rivadavia have taken 5 points from their last 5. Gimnasia (Mendoza) average 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Independiente Rivadavia average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Gimnasia (Mendoza) lost 1-5 against Independiente Rivadavia. Our model expects Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score about 1.6 and Independiente Rivadavia about 1.0. Gimnasia (Mendoza) should be hard to beat here.