Tigre vs Sarmiento (Junín) prediction

Tigre have lost 3 of their last 5, while Sarmiento (Junín) have taken 5 points from their last 5. Tigre average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Sarmiento (Junín) average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. When they last met, Tigre lost 0-1 against Sarmiento (Junín). Our model expects Tigre to score about 1.4 and Sarmiento (Junín) about 1.1. We expect around 2.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.