Luzern vs Young Boys prediction

Luzern have lost 3 of their last 5, while Young Boys have won 3 of their last 5. Luzern average 2.1 scored and 2.0 conceded at home, while Young Boys average 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Luzern won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to Young Boys, with 3.7 goals a game. Our model expects Luzern to score about 1.9 and Young Boys about 2.0. Luzern should avoid losing by two goals or more.