Vaduz vs Sion prediction

Vaduz have lost 3 of their last 5, while Sion have taken 8 points from their last 5. Vaduz average 2.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Sion average 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Vaduz lost 2-3 against Sion. Our model expects Vaduz to score about 1.8 and Sion about 1.6. Sion should avoid losing by two goals or more.