Nacional vs Académico de Viseu prediction

Nacional have lost 4 of their last 5, while Académico de Viseu are unbeaten in their last 5. Nacional average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Académico de Viseu average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects Nacional to score about 1.1 and Académico de Viseu about 1.5. Académico de Viseu should find the net, with about 1.5 goals expected from them.