Padova vs Empoli prediction

Padova have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Empoli have not won in their last 5. Padova average 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Empoli average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Padova won 1-0 against Empoli. Our model expects Padova to score about 1.4 and Empoli about 1.1. Empoli should avoid losing by two goals or more.