Pisa vs Südtirol prediction

Pisa have taken 8 points from their last 5, while Südtirol have not won in their last 5. Pisa average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Südtirol average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Pisa to score about 1.5 and Südtirol about 1.1. Südtirol should avoid losing by two goals or more.