Plymouth Argyle vs Alvechurch prediction

Plymouth Argyle have taken 7 points from their last 5, while Alvechurch have won 3 of their last 5. Plymouth Argyle average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Alvechurch average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Plymouth Argyle to score about 1.6 and Alvechurch about 1.4. Alvechurch should avoid losing by two goals or more.