Preston North End vs Southampton prediction

Preston North End have not won in their last 5, while Southampton are unbeaten in their last 5. Preston North End average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while Southampton average 1.9 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. When they last met, Preston North End lost 1-3 against Southampton. Our model expects Preston North End to score about 1.1 and Southampton about 2.0. Southampton should win this, and a draw only returns the stake.