Queen of the South vs East Kilbride prediction

Queen of the South have lost 4 of their last 5, while East Kilbride have won 3 of their last 5. Queen of the South average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded at home, while East Kilbride average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Queen of the South lost 1-5 against East Kilbride. Our model expects Queen of the South to score about 1.5 and East Kilbride about 1.9. We expect only around 3.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.